Math 111, Joel M. Cohen (Summer, 2004)

This WEB page is 
http://www.math.umd.edu/~jmc/111.html,  and was last updated: 8-10-04 Homework

Title:
Introduction to Probability
Instructor: Professor Joel M. Cohen

Office: MTH 2313, Telephone: (301)405-5109 
Home phone: (202)546-1823. 

Class Time: M-F 9:30-10:50 
Location: Math 0303
E-mail address:  jcohen@umd.edu
Book: 
"Introduction to Probablility," by S. T. Tan, 2003,  Thomson Custom Publishing, Brooks/Cole Publishing Company, Pacific Grove, CA.

Prerequisite: Satisfactory score on Math Department placement exam or completion of the appropriate module of MATH 003. 

Office Hours: MTWTh 12:30-1:30.  Occasionally, it may be necessary to change this time, so let me know if you are planning to see me.  You can also send me email. I will answer queries as quickly as possible during office hours, and as time permits otherwise. 

Tutoring: The math department provides tutoring for Math 111 every day 12:30 - 2:30 p.m. Room 0407 with Hunter Johnson.

Web Posting:  If you have given written permission to post your grades under an alias, you may check the grades by clicking here.

Sample tests:  Sample tests are available by clicking here.

Description: This is a course in Probability Theory with a minimum of prerequsites designed primarily for students in the Social Sciences who normally would take a Statistics course in their own department. Credit will only be given for one of MATH 111 and STAT 100.
 
  TOPICS
  Counting 
    Sets
    Venn Diagrams
    Partition principle for counting
    Multiplication rule
    Permutations
    Combinations
    Binomial formula
Probability
    Sample spaces
    Probability fundamentals
Conditional Probabilities and Independence
    Conditional probability
    Bayes Theorem
    Independence
Discrete Random Variables
    Probability function
    Expected value
    Variance 
    Binomial Distribution
    Hypergeometric random variables
Continuous Random Variables
    Normal random variables
    Normal approximation
    Probability estimation
   




COURSE OUTLINE (subject to change)



Daily Schedule:

July 12 6.1 Sets and set operations
July 13 6.2 Number of elements in a finite set
July 14 6.3 Multiplication principle
July 15 6.3, 6.4 Permutations and combinations
July 16 6.4 continued
July 19 7.1 Experiments, sample spaces, events
July 20 7.2 Definition of probability
July 21 7.3 Rules of probability
July 22 7.4 Use of counting in probability
July 23 Exam I
July 26 7.5 Conditional probability, independent events
July 27 7.5 continued
July 28 7.6 Bayes' theorem
July 29 7.6 continued
July 30 8.1 Distributions of random variables
August 2 8.2 Expected value
August 3 8.2, 8.3 Variance and standard deviation
August 4 8.3 continued
August 5 8.4 Binomial distribution
August 6 Exam II
August 9 8.4 continued
August 10 Handout on hypergeometric functions
August 11 8.5 Normal distribution
August 12 Catch up time
August 13 Catch up time
August 16 8.5 continued
August 17 8.6 Applications of normal distribution
August 18 8.6 continued
August 19 Review
August 20 Final


  
 

Using this course outline: After each class date is listed the section scheduled to be covered that day and the exercises which should be worked before the next class session.

   

Homework: A list of assigned exercises is given below. Homework to the left of the || will be collected and graded. Selected problems will be discussed in class. In fact, problem solving will be emphasized in class. 

6.1 # 1,3,5,7,9,11,13,17,21,25,27,29,31,33,37,41,45,47,51
6.2 # 3,4,7,9,11,13,15,19,21,23,25,27,29
6.3 # 1,4,5,9,11,14,15,17,19,21,23
6.4 # 1,3,5,7,11,15,19,23,27,31,35,37,39,41,49,53,57,59,61,63,72
7.1 # 2,4,7,10,18, 22,26, 34,38 || 1,5,13,17,21,23,27,33,35
7.2 # 2,5,10,14,24,34 || 1,3,9,23,31,33,37
7.3 # 2,7,8,12,14,22,26,36,40 || 1,13,15,21,25,27,31
7.4 # 2,4,6,8,13,16,24,28,33,36,37 || 1,3,5,9,17,19,23,27
7.5 # 2,3,4,6,8,12,20,34,42 || 1,5,7,9,11,13,15,19,21,27,29,33,35,41,43
7.6 # 2,4,6,8,11,16,21,22,36,40 || 1,3,5,7,9,15,17,27,31,33,35
8.1 # 2,4,6,10,12,16,19,20,24 || 1,3,5,9,11,13,15,23
8.2 # 2,4,6,12,18,20,28,34,42 || 1,3,5,11,13,17,19
8.3 # 2,4,6,8,12,16,20,24,29,30 || 1,3,5,7,11,13,19,25,27
8.4 # 2,4,6,10,14,16,22,26,36,44 || 1,3,5,9,11,13,15,17,21,23,29,31,35

#1,3,4,5,6,7 in Handout on Hypergeometric RV
8.5 # 2,4,6,8,10,12,14,16,18,20 || 1,3,5,7,9,11,13,15,17,19,20
8.6 # 2,4,6,8,10,12,14,16,18,20 || 1,3,5,7,9,11,13,15,17,19,21

Other assignments may be given in class.







Homework is an integral part of this course and counting 1/4 of the total points for the course.  It is expected that the work on all assignments turned in will be your own even if you study with someone else or get help from a tutor or your teacher.


The Student Solutions Manual can help you in learning to solve problems.When you work practice problems try to work the problems on your own.If you reach a point where you are stuck, look up the solution in the solutions manual and see how the authors proceeded or began.Then close the book and try to make the next steps.Always try to answer the question, "Why did they do it that way?"If you have trouble with an even-numbered problem, try working the problem just before or just after it (or any other odd problem that looks similar), using the solutions manual if needed.Then try the even problem again.If homework is collected for grading or used to answer a quiz problem, the work must be your own; if solutions are copied from the solutions manual, you will receive no credit for them and may be subject to charges of honor code violation for plagiarism.

The average time spent on non-examination studying for a math course at this level should be about three hours for every.  In other words you should plan to spend an average of fifteen hours a week on homework and studying for quizzes.

 
 

Grade Policy

2 midterm exams, lowest counts 50%(100 points each)= 150 pts.

Homework= 100 pts.

Final Examination= 150 pts

TOTAL= 400 pts

Average = Total/4

        Makeup exams will not be given.  If you have an excused absence for an exam, the grade will be replaced by 1/2 of the final.  If you have taken both exams, the lowest grade will count for half.  Excused absences will be given only for valid medical reasons, University business, or appearances in court, and, except in emergency conditions, must be requested in advance, either by email or by phone.   There will be no excused homework assignments or quizzes, but approximately the lowest 15% will be dropped.

        If you need to be excused for a religious observance, you should let me know as soon as possible, but in any case no later than the end of the schedule adjustment period.
  
The expectation is that a letter grade will be given using the following scale for the semester average: 90-100 (A),80-89 (B),70-79 (C),60-69 (D),0-59 (F).There will be no curving of exam grades during the semester.If there is any adjustment to this curve, it will only be done for the course totals and the final grade at the end of the semester.

Honor Code:You are expected to abide by the University Honor Code on all examinations, quizzes, and homework assignments. Copying solutions from the solutions manual is plagiarism.Copying homework solutions or quiz or test answers from someone else is also cheating as is altering a quiz or examination after it has been graded or giving answers to someone during an exam or quiz.You will be asked to write and sign the following honor pledge on each exam:
                                               
I pledge on my honor that I have not given or received any unauthorized assistance on this examination.